Florida International vs Florida Atlantic 10/30/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida International winning 55% of simulations, and Florida Atlantic 45% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida International commits fewer turnovers in 43% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Florida Atlantic wins 60% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jerimiah Harden is averaging 80 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Alfred Morris is averaging 128 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLATL +6.5

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